Great Circle Associates Firewalls
(September 1994)
 

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Subject: Oranges and the Science of Risk Management
From: "Johnson-Bryden, Ian" <IJB @ saicuk . co . uk>
Date: Tue, 27 Sep 94 10:35:00 GMT
To: "'Firewalls @ GreatCircle . COM'" <Firewalls @ GreatCircle . COM>
Encoding: 95 TEXT

Padgett makes some valid engineering points about virsus defence and 
barriers, but that is dealing with identified problems. If an enterprise has 
unlimited funds, it may be possible to make the case for taking every 
possible precaution against every conceivable threat. Usually though life is 
a series of priorities drawn from probability of threat against operational 
needs and available budgets.

The analysis of risk, and enterprise organisation and method, should provide 
the basis from which all actions and counter actions can be based. There is 
often great potential for reducing risks at a profit. Changes in personnel 
selection and training may dramatically reduce a range of risks and produce 
a more efficient enterprise. Withdrawl from a particular market may reduce a 
number of risks, including those of terrorist attack. There are many 
examples which can be given of risk reduction which is achieved and 
financial advantage gained with little or no investment in technology.

Specific technical solutions may support opposing argument of equal force. 
It could be argued that the implementation of a firewall reduces 
availability because it imposes restrictions to the free flow of 
communication and introduces an operational overhead. An equally valid 
argument could be that implementation of a firewall increases availability 
because otherwise a particular enterprise could not risk connection to the 
Internet and therefore no firewall equals zero availability. Between those 
two arguments there are many shades of grey. Air gapping may, or may not, 
avoid the need for a firewall but still enable the enterprise to access the 
Internet and some might regard air gapping as the ultimate firewall, or at 
least a water filled moat. The lack of physical connection between private 
networks and the Internet server makes hacking rather difficult. If the risk 
analysis shows a threat which requires the implementation of a firewall to 
reduce the probability of identified risk to an acceptable level, there is 
considerable choice in the level of blocking and multiple firewalls may be 
employed.

In the event that a firewall, or several firewalls, is/are considered 
necessary, that does not mean that all identified risks have been reduced to 
an acceptable level. There may be a need to employ a range of other 
techniques, including protection of packets as they transit the Internet and 
protection and segregation of data within the elements of the private 
networks. Multi-level security can provide improved availability and 
increased assurance and increased integrity because requirements can be 
streamed and the heaviest protection is only applied to those transactions 
and data which demand it. If a classification system sets four levels, 80% 
of all transactions, subjects and data will probably sit at the lowest 
level. Less than 2% will sit at the highest level. Therefore a system which 
recognises these divisions will be able to provide adequate protection for 
the highest level without slugging the mass of data/transactions at the 
lower levels. If a personnel policy provides an accurate clearance system on 
a need-to-know basis risk is further reduced with potential improvements in 
assurance, integrity and availability because only duly authorised personnel 
will be able to transact business electronically. Thats much like a 
situation in a machine shop where dangerous machinery has to have safety 
guards fitted, but no system is idiot proof. An intelligent manager would 
ensure that only qualified people have access to the machine shop and only 
people qualified to operate, or maintain, the machine are able to do so. He 
would also be wise to ensure than correct tools were fitted to the machine 
for a specific purpose and matched the materials and the job requirements.

In the event of a number of security systems being implemented there are the 
questions of who controls everything and where from. Some may be able to 
make a sound case for a central security officer who manages risk through a 
bastion firewall installation. Equally, it could be necessary to have 
regional, site and even work group security controls, combine the functions 
of security officer and system administrator, or operate control from 
something other than a bastion firewall installation. Every enterprise will 
have some common generic threats, but each case will differ in detail and 
need to apply different priorities.

On example of narrow and inadequate risk management is police criminal 
intelligence computer systems. The US Federal Bureau of Investigation claims 
that its system has never been penetrated by a hacker. Similar organisations 
in other countries make similar claims about their equivalent systems. It 
may be that the claims are not justified, but they have each spent a chunk 
of money on security devices to protect all links with the outside world and 
they do manage those devices. However, every CIC has been compromised. The 
FBI is well aware that a range of unauthorised people routinely and 
illegally obtain information from the system and periodically some of these 
folk are brought to trial. The primary route for information is through 
authorised users who use information in an unauthorised manner, usually for 
money and often for very small sums of money. The typical rate for bank 
statements and police records from their respective systems is typically 
US$75 in most western countries. At those prices, even small private 
investigating companies can afford to make frequent use of this illegal 
service and who needs hackers.

In the CIC example, the other major problem is integrity of data. Once a 
record has got into the system, it seems very difficult to remove or correct 
it if it is found to be inaccurate. Thats all part of the risk management 
requirements and it may be that a firewall provides part of the answer in 
some of the systems but thats not much comfort to the person who is lying 
nose down in the snow with a very large gun in his ear as a result of 
someone making a data entry error. Its even less comforting when it happens 
several times because no one removed the errors after the first incident.

Ian J-B.

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